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State-qualified intervention and withdrawal

math/state-qualified-intervention.md

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Scope

This note formalizes the held pharmacology/toxicology transfer: commanded intervention, realized internal state, mechanism engagement, benefit, harm, adaptation, and withdrawal remain separate. It supports the pharmacology audit and Candidates 005, 007, 012, and 014. The evidence and boundary claims are C-607C-626.

Intervention chain

For system state xtx_t, commanded intervention dtd_t, realized internal exposure ete_t, adaptation state ztz_t, and observation yty_t, use

et+1=fe(et,dt,ct,wte),e_{t+1}=f_e(e_t,d_t,c_t,w_t^e), xt+1=fx(xt,et,zt,ct,wtx),zt+1=fz(zt,et,xt,ct,wtz),x_{t+1}=f_x(x_t,e_t,z_t,c_t,w_t^x), \qquad z_{t+1}=f_z(z_t,e_t,x_t,c_t,w_t^z), yt=hv(xt,et,zt,d0:t,st)+ϵt.y_t=h_v(x_t,e_t,z_t,d_{0:t},s_t)+\epsilon_t.

Here ctc_t is typed context, sts_t is sampling/selection state, vv is the observation-model version, and every disturbance wtw_t^\cdot and error ϵt\epsilon_t has the unit of the equation in which it appears. The command dtd_t and exposure ete_t need not share a unit: a token quota, update rate, or tool permission is not evidence that the intended computation, parameter change, or external effect occurred. Forecast value, feedback correction, integrated action exposure, reserve debit, and later outcome remain separate coordinates for the same reason (C-1494).

The evaluator reports endpoint vectors rather than a hidden scalar:

qt=(bt,ht,rt,Et,Lt,Mt,Ht),\mathbf q_t= \left(\mathbf b_t,\mathbf h_t,\mathbf r_t, E_t,L_t,M_t,H_t\right),

where bt\mathbf b_t is task benefit, ht\mathbf h_t is protected harm, rt\mathbf r_t is remaining reserve, EtE_t is lifecycle energy in joules, LtL_t is latency in seconds, MtM_t is moved/stored information in bytes, and HtH_t is human effort in person-seconds. Unlike coordinates are never added without a declared decision rule and weights.

Qualified authority region

An intervention is admissible only inside a versioned region

Dt=Av(e^t,x^t,z^t,bt,ht,rt,ut,τt,pt),dtDt,\mathcal D_t= \mathcal A_v(\hat e_t,\hat x_t,\hat z_t, \mathbf b_t,\mathbf h_t,\mathbf r_t, u_t,\tau_t,p_t), \qquad d_t\in\mathcal D_t,

where utu_t is the complete uncertainty record, τt\tau_t is observation age in seconds, and ptp_t identifies the supported population/task/context. Calling Dt\mathcal D_t a “window” does not make it a fixed scalar interval. It changes with endpoint, schedule, context, uncertainty, adaptation, reserve, and the cost of delayed harm. A local rule must also be requalified when its trigger becomes widespread and its shared-system cost changes (C-1493).

Withdrawal is its own transition

Removing support is not algebraic negation of adding support. Let Δdt=dtdt1\Delta d_t=d_t-d_{t-1}. A reduction policy must satisfy

dtDt,ΔdtRv(z^t,rt,ut),d_t\in\mathcal D_t, \qquad \Delta d_t\in\mathcal R_v(\hat z_t,\mathbf r_t,u_t),

where Rv\mathcal R_v is a rate-qualified removal set. After dtd_t reaches zero, evaluation continues for declared horizon TWT_W seconds or task events:

W0:TW=(Δb,Δh,Δr,trebound,trecover,E,M,H).W_{0:T_W}= \left(\Delta\mathbf b,\Delta\mathbf h,\Delta\mathbf r, t_{\mathrm{rebound}},t_{\mathrm{recover}},E,M,H\right).

This exposes dependence hidden by supported performance. A rollback is not complete when the command disappears; it is complete only when rebound, recurrence, native capability, reserve, and observation coverage meet their declared postconditions.

Interaction and schedule tests

For interventions aa and bb, interaction is the residual against a named reference g0g_0:

Iab=g(a,b)g0(a,b).I_{ab}=g(a,b)-g_0(a,b).

IabI_{ab} inherits the endpoint unit. Its sign can change with response scale, schedule, context, and endpoint, so “synergy” without g0g_0 is undefined. The test matrix must also compare schedules with equal cumulative command but different peaks, spacing, duration, and recovery; matched totals do not imply matched internal state.

Falsification boundary

The contract adds nothing if a Bayesian state-space PK/PD analogue, mixed-effects estimator, constrained MPC/POMDP, calibrated harm monitors, and staged decommissioning/taper policy match its benefit–harm–reserve–cost frontier. Universal hormesis, one-number therapeutic windows, dose-as-effect, and absence-of-observed-harm claims fail before this comparison.